Concept

Dog / Underdog

Also known as: underdog


The team or fighter expected to lose. Indicated by a plus number on the moneyline (+150, +200, etc.).

The underdog; often shortened to “dog”; is the team less likely to win according to the sportsbook’s pricing. They pay plus-money on the moneyline (e.g. +150 returns $150 on a $100 bet).

Variants:

  • Slight dog; close matchup, +110 to +150
  • Live dog; underdog believed to have a real chance to win
  • Long dog / longshot; heavy underdog at +300 or longer
  • Home dog; underdog playing at home; historically a small ATS edge in the NFL

Sharp bettors look for live dogs in mispriced matchups. Public bettors gravitate to favorites, which can leave value on the dog side.