Concept

Favorite


The team expected to win. Carries a minus sign on the moneyline (-150, -200) and a minus spread (-3, -7).

The favorite is the team a sportsbook expects to win. The book signals this with:

  • Negative moneyline (e.g. -200); you must risk $200 to win $100
  • Negative spread (e.g. -7); must win by more than the spread to cover

Heavy favorites pay terribly per dollar. -300 chalk only returns $33 on a $100 bet. That’s why parlay payouts compound so attractively; and why the math is brutal on long chalk parlays.

Opposite: underdog or “dog.”